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June 30, 2023

News diary 3 – 9 July: Sunak before Liaison Committee, ULEZ challenged

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News.

By Foresight News

A look ahead at the key events leading the news agenda next week, from the team at Foresight News.

Leading the week

Rishi Sunak makes his third appearance before the Liaison Committee on Tuesday (4 July), in what may be a bit of a déjà vu for the prime minister, who faced questions on the Rwanda deportations, NHS pay rises, and inflation when he last appeared before MPs in March.

Home Affairs Committee chair Diana Johnson is up first, and while that segment of the hearing is due to focus on Ukraine and security matters, small boats are likely to come up again after the Court of Appeal ruled on Thursday that the Rwanda policy is unlawful. 

And it won’t get any easier from there: the committee chairs are due to grill Sunak on the cost of living amid stubborn inflation levels and increasing interest rates, as well as on public services, with teachers, junior doctors and NHS consultants all poised to strike over the next fortnight.

The section on constitutional matters may also be awkward for the prime minister after 10 Conservative MPs and peers were accused of mounting “vociferous attacks” on the Privileges Committee in the wake of its report into Boris Johnson, while the questions on climate change come after Environment Minister Zac Goldsmith resigned with a scathing attack on Sunak’s climate leadership in the wake of the Climate Change Committee’s annual progress report. 

London Conservatives still reeling from losing a mayoral candidate hopeful this week will be looking to shift attention to what they see as a vote-winner as five Tory-led councils take Sadiq Khan to the High Court on Tuesday (4 July) over his flagship ULEZ expansion scheme. Khan plans to expand the current Ultra Low Emission Zone to all 32 boroughs from 29 August, and use the £400m it is projected to generate in its first two years to expand bus and cycle lanes in the capital.

Harrow, Hillingdon, Bromley, Bexley and Surrey County Council are challenging the expansion, accusing Khan of over-extending his powers and pitching Tuesday’s hearing as an “Independence Day” for outer London. Defeat for Khan will raise hopes of a Conservative victory at the London mayoral election next May, while even a delay in the planned expansion will see it become a central issue of the campaign and increase the pressure on a mayor seen as “beatable” by the opposition. 

Senior royals are in Scotland next week for Holyrood Week, with attention focused on a “Coronation-lite” at St Giles’ Cathedral on Wednesday (5 July). A People’s Procession will escort the Honours of Scotland from Edinburgh Castle to the cathedral, where they’ll be presented to King Charles III during a national service of thanksgiving, capped with a 21-gun salute and a red arrows flypast.

The royal procession to and from the Palace of Holyroodhouse may be reminiscent of the scenes following the death of Queen Elizabeth II in September, but civil liberties groups will also be keeping a close eye on police during the celebrations. Four people were arrested in Edinburgh in September for breaching the peace during proclamation ceremonies, and 64 people in London ahead of and during the King’s coronation in May in what was criticised as a “heavy-handed” operation. Anti-monarchist group Republic, whose chief executive Graham Smith was among those detained, have planned #NotMyKing protests against what they call “another reckless waste of public money”. 

Looking Abroad

Emmanuel Macron pays a state visit to Germany on Monday and Tuesday (3-4 July) as the two countries continue to mend relations following disagreements last year, notably over energy and defence issues, that led to a delay in their annual joint cabinet meeting.

While differences remain (notably over China), the visit will focus on the strong ties between the EU’s most powerful members. The programme starts in Stuttgart, where the French president and his wife Brigitte are welcomed with military honours by German president Frank-Walter Steinmeier before the pair take part in a discussion on artificial intelligence.

Macron then heads to Berlin, where he holds a joint press conference with Steinmeier before taking a boat trip with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on the Spree and visiting Brandenburg Gate. A state banquet takes place that evening. 

On Tuesday, Macron heads to Dresden, where his schedule includes what is likely to be the key moment of his visit, an address on the Neumarkt in front of the Frauenkirche. Macron’s visit follows three days of widespread protests in France after a police officer shot and killed a 17-year-old during a traffic stop, and questions about the ongoing violence – and whether Macron should be out of the country at all – may overshadow the trip, which is still due to go ahead at time of writing.

With the NATO summit in Vilnius just around the corner, a critical meeting takes place between Sweden and Turkey in Brussels on Thursday (6 July) as efforts continue to secure ratification of Sweden’s NATO membership before the gathering.

Despite a renewed drive following Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s re-election, a breakthrough has proved elusive – the decision this week to allow a (one-man) Quran book-burning protest in Stockholm timed to coincide with Eid al-Adha has reignited tensions amid the ongoing dispute rooted in Sweden’s large Kurdish community, which Turkey says includes PKK terrorists.

Ultimately, though, the near-term fate of Sweden’s bid may end up being decided in another European capital; alongside Turkey, Hungary has also held off on ratifying Sweden’s application, though for different reasons, and earlier this week the country’s parliament reportedly delayed a planned vote until the autumn. Barring a last-minute change, then, Sweden hopes of becoming NATO’s 32nd member in time for the summit could be dashed regardless of whether its dispute with Turkey is resolved. 

Also look out for

July 3

  • High Court hearing continues in Cabinet Office challenge to Covid-19 inquiry
  • Wimbledon begins
  • CMA publishes road fuel market study
  • Home Office Qs in the Commons
  • Illegal Migration Bill back in the Lords
  • Amanda Pritchard at committee session on access to urgent care

July 4

  • Keir Starmer and Michael Gove address LGA Conference
  • Mark Drakeford gives evidence to the Covid-19 inquiry
  • Trial continues for anti-vaxxer accused of harassing Matt Hancock
  • India hosts virtual summit for the Shanghai Cooperation Organization
  • Fumio Kishida expected to meet with IAEA chief on Fukushima wastewater release
  • ECJ ruling in Meta data processing case

July 5

  • Westminster Abbey service marking 75th anniversary of the NHS
  • NEU teachers hold national strike
  • Northern Irish party leaders at committee session on the GFA
  • Fabian Picardo at committee session on Gibraltar negotiations
  • Man sentenced for treason over Windsor Castle Christmas Day incident
  • MP Bob Stewart in court over public order offence
  • Final planning committee decision over RAF Scampton’s dog grave
  • OPEC International Seminar opens

July 6

  • Deadline for government to appeal the Rwanda court ruling
  • Funeral for teens killed in Cardiff e-bike crash
  • Third Ashes test begins
  • Amanda Spielman addresses Festival of Education
  • Trump aide Walt Nauta arraigned in classified documents case
  • Rare Rembrandt portraits auctioned at Christie’s
  • World Artificial Intelligence Conference opens in Shanghai

July 7

  • Second NEU teachers’ strike
  • Inquest into Babbs Mill Lake deaths
  • Church of England General Synod opens (to July 11)
  • HMICFRS PEEL reports
  • Jens Stoltenberg holds press conference ahead of NATO Summit
  • Taylor Swift releases Speak Now (Taylor’s Version)

July 8

  • Synod discusses fossil fuel disinvestment and same-sex blessings
  • Donegal Orange Order parade
  • Durham Miners’ Gala
  • UK Athletics Championships
  • Russia marks anti-LGBT Day of Family, Love and Faith

July 9

  • F1 British Grand Prix
  • Andrew Bailey addresses Aix-en-Provence Economic Forum
  • Early presidential election in Uzbekistan
  • Indonesia hosts ASEAN foreign ministers

Reports, stats and results

July 3

  • UK manufacturing PMI
  • Times Higher Education Young University Rankings 

July 4

  • OECD consumer price indices
  • Trading statement from Sainsbury’s

July 5

  • NAO report on managing government borrowing
  • UNCTAD World Investment Report
  • European Commission report on the rule of law
  • UK services PMI
  • SMMT car sales figures
  • ONS measures of national well-being

July 6

  • NAO report on Department for Work and Pensions accounts
  • Annual statistics on firearm certificates
  • UK construction PMI
  • Results from: Currys, Persimmon

July 7

  • NAO report on the Royal Household audit
  • US unemployment figures
  • FAO food price index
  • Halifax house price index

Anniversaries and awareness days

July 3

  • Belarus Independence Day
  • Alcohol Awareness Week (to July 9)

July 4

  • US Independence Day 

July 5

  • 75 years ago: NHS established
  • Venezuela Independence Day
  • National Bikini Day

July 6

  • One month ago: Nova Kakhovka dam destroyed
  • 20 years ago: Roger Federer won first Wimbledon title
  • George W. Bush turns 77
  • National Fried Chicken Day

July 7

  • One year ago: Boris Johnson resigned Conservative leadership
  • Two years ago: Haitian President Jovenel Moise assassinated
  • 10 years ago: Andy Murray won first Wimbledon title
  • Action Mesothelioma Day

July 9

  • Five years ago: Ethiopia and Eritrea declared end to state of war
  • Sea Sunday 

The news diary is provided in association with Foresight News.

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